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Halving 4 Days Away, How Secure is Bitcoin?

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By Erika John - - 5 Mins Read
A robotic arm holding a piece of Bitcoin
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With the Bitcoin halving date approaching fast, the cryptocurrency industry is getting ready for changes in the market.

As we approach the highly anticipated event, attention is turning to Bitcoin security, which is paramount given the recent activity within the network.

In just 4 days, the global community will witness a significant shift in how Bitcoin operates.

Record-Breaking Mining Difficulty

The latest data from CoinWarz revealed surging activity within the Bitcoin network.

Mining difficulty has surged to new levels, at a staggering 86.39 trillion, reflecting the intense competition among miners. 

In just the past month, it has surged by 8.87%, indicating a growing complexity of mining operations.

 

Chart of Bitcoin block difficulty
Bitcoin mining difficulty chart | Coinwarz

 

This trend represents a 3.4% increase from the previous high recorded in March. Concurrently, the hash rate remains high at 626.56 EH/s, approaching its historical peak.

Impending Difficulty Adjustment

With the subsequent Bitcoin difficulty adjustment set for April 24th, anticipation mounts within the crypto community.

Projections indicate a further increase to 89.21 trillion, showing the relentless pace of network expansion. 

This adjustment is critical as it precedes the impending halving event on April 20th. As miners brace for reduced block rewards, every adjustment is important in shaping the network's future.

Historical Precedents and Price Trends

Looking at the past halving events can provide us with insights into the changes in the price of Bitcoin. In the aftermath of the halving in 2012, Bitcoin experienced a meteoric rise, surging from $12 to over $1,000 in just a year.

A similar scenario played out after the 2016 halving, with prices skyrocketing from $650 to around $2,500, eventually reaching an all-time high of $19,700 in December 2017.

The 2020 halving witnessed a comparable surge, propelling Bitcoin from nearly $8,000 to a staggering high of over $69,000 within a year. These historical trends show the significance of halving events in driving price appreciation and investor sentiment.

Also read: Bitcoin and 3 altcoins to hold on to before Bitcoin's halving

An Unprecedented Cycle

The current halving cycle might be different from historical norms. Unlike previous cycles, wherein price surges typically followed halving events, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge in March 2024. 

Bitcoin has surpassed expectations and reached a new all-time high, about a month before the fourth halving. This achievement reflects the changes taking place in cryptocurrency markets and the various factors influencing Bitcoin's trajectory.

Bitcoin Halving Countdown 

As the countdown to Bitcoin's halving intensifies, stakeholders are fraught with uncertainty. While historical trends offer valuable insights, the current cycle introduces a degree of unpredictability. 

Bitcoin's resilience has been tested due to its record-breaking mining difficulty and changing market. Daily, the crypto community anticipates events that have the potential to alter the future of the crypto market.

In addition, the cryptocurrency market may require additional scrutiny due to various regulatory changes, technological advancements, and macroeconomic trends coinciding with the halving event.

The safety of the Bitcoin network remains a critical concern, and the collaborative efforts of miners and stakeholders are essential in preserving its decentralization and immutability.

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